December 20, 2010
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NYS legislative redistricting projections based on 2005-09 ACS
By 2012, the New York State and Assembly will be redistricted. How the lines are drawn -- and whether the new districts tend to concentrate or disperse populations that tend to vote Republican or Democrat, among other characteristics -- will have a substantial impact on state policies for the next 10 years, and for the next round of redistricting in 2021-22.
The analysis below, based on the American Community Survey (ACS) population data for 2005-2009, indicates that New York City would gain a State Senate seat while the state's upstate region would lose a Senate seat. In the Assembly, it appears that Long Island would gain a seat while New York City would lose an Assembly seat.
